No apologies necessary
Paul Flewers (September SR) is wrong on two counts. He underestimates both the impact of the anti-war movement on Nato's strategy in the Balkans and the scale of the crisis in the former Soviet Union.
The anti-war movement had a direct bearing on the options Nato felt able to pursue. The mass demonstrations in Germany, Italy and, in particular, Greece meant that the Nato alliance was subject to increased tensions as a result of popular hostility to the war. In the United States, the Vietnam Syndrome lay behind Clinton's reluctance to commit ground troops. There is still popular hostility to Americans suffering death and injury in foreign military engagements.
Even in Britain the impact of the anti-war movement was considerable. Demonstrations against the war had a real effect More importantly, the proliferation of local groups organising debates and public meetings gave the movement real depth. There was much less sectarianism in the alliances that were established which can be put to good use for other campaigns. Look, for example, at the breadth of support for the lobby of the Labour Party conference.
As K-For colludes with the KLA in the ethnic cleansing of Serbs from Kosovo, the demand from the liberal press that we apologise for our opposition has a decidedly hollow ring to it. In fact, as these events show, the anti-war movement has been vindicated.
To describe as 'alarmist', as Paul Flewers does, the stance Socialist Review has taken on the scale of the crisis in the former Soviet Union is either unbelievably complacent or profoundly pessimistic. It seems to betray a secret wish that the crisis will go away.
Firstly, the proliferation of conflicts between the states that comprised the former Soviet Union is likely to intensify in the future. For one example, the pro-Nato Guuam alliance aimed at exploiting the oil rich region around the Caspian Sea has already exacerbated tensions between Azerbaijan and Armenia. Paul Flewers also refers to the war in Moldova and Chechnya.
Secondly, in the 82 regions of Russia itself there is increasing conflict between the desire for increased autonomy from Moscow and the inability to go it alone. Thirdly, as Mike Haynes graphically described in the last issue of Socialist Review, the scale of the Russian economic and political crisis 'beggars belief '. Output has fallen by half since 1991, in the last 18 months there have been no less than five prime ministers, and it is now becoming clear that Yeltsin and his family circle are mired in corruption.
What would be truly alarming is if this edifice of political and economic corruption managed to sustain itself much longer. The old ruling class cannot continue to rule in the old way and has not yet found a new way of consolidating or extending its control. Unfortunately, the other element in the revolutionary equation--the refusal of the exploited classes to go on being ruled--has not yet found sustainable expression.
Shaun Doherty
Stoke Newington